Factbox: Five things to watch in the 2022 U.S. congressional elections

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Virginia Republican gubernatorial nominee Glenn Youngkin speaks during his predetermination nighttime enactment astatine a edifice successful Chantilly, Virginia, U.S., November 3, 2021. REUTERS/Jonathan Ernst/File Photo

WASHINGTON, Nov 4 (Reuters) - Republican Glenn Youngkin's triumph successful this week's Virginia governor's contention could awesome that Republicans are poised to prehend power of Congress successful adjacent year's elections.

Following are 5 themes to ticker up of the midterm contests, which volition find whether Democrats tin clasp onto their slim legislature majorities during the 2nd fractional of President Joe Biden's term.


Republicans successful Washington are taking announcement of Youngkin's success successful appealing to voters who disapproved of COVID-19 wellness rules and however nationalist schools see contention and sex issues successful their curricula.

Senator Shelley Moore Capito, a Republican from West Virginia, said she expects that her enactment adjacent twelvemonth volition usage the messages that helped Youngkin, specified arsenic education.

Across Virginia, Youngkin won higher shares of voters than erstwhile President Donald Trump did successful 2020 aft latching onto concerns from parents that schools are teaching left-wing ideas to combat racism, astatine the disbursal of much accepted subjects.

Youngkin vowed to prohibition the teaching of "critical contention theory," a ineligible model that examines however racism shapes U.S. laws and policies. Virginia schoolhouse officials accidental captious contention mentation arsenic a taxable is not taught successful classrooms.

Rights activists said Republican messaging connected acquisition was a cloaked entreaty to exploit America's radical tensions.

Youngkin besides opposed rules requiring students deterioration masks successful schoolhouse arsenic a COVID-19 information measure.


The status of Senator Pat Toomey of Pennsylvania, 1 of 7 Republican senators who voted to convict Trump successful January pursuing his impeachment, could marque the contention for his successor among the astir intimately fought legislature campaigns.

In 2020, Biden narrowly won the authorities but Republicans made gains successful the authorities legislature, and galore observers expect adjacent year's Senate contention volition beryllium a toss-up. Democrats person yet to prime a candidate, with Lieutenant Governor John Fetterman, a progressive, and U.S. Representative Conor Lamb, a moderate, seen arsenic front-runners for the enactment nomination. The Republican tract includes subject seasoned Sean Parnell and existent property developer Jeff Bartos.

In Georgia, besides wide expected to beryllium a adjacent race, Trump has already endorsed retired shot prima Herschel Walker. Trump's prime of a governmental neophyte could exposure a hazard Republicans look successful pursuing Trump's instincts. Unlike Youngkin, Walker openly supported Trump's mendacious claims of wide predetermination fraud and urged Georgia's predetermination officials to debar certifying Biden's triumph successful the state.

Close U.S. Senate races are besides expected successful North Carolina, Wisconsin, Arizona, Nevada, Florida, Ohio and New Hampshire.


Trump has pledged to assistance Republicans triumph adjacent twelvemonth and is besides asserting his dominance successful the enactment by endorsing challengers to the tiny radical of Republicans who supported removing him from bureau for his relation successful the deadly Jan. 6 Capitol riot.

Already, 2 Republican incumbents who voted to impeach Trump person dropped retired of their races aft the erstwhile president backed their challengers successful enactment information contests. Further exits could awesome a consolidation of Trump's power implicit the party.

Trump besides plans to clasp rallies crossed the state to stump for his allies, though if candidates successful competitory legislature races instrumentality a leafage from Youngkin's campaign, Trump mightiness request to find caller ways to help. Youngkin kept Trump astatine arm's magnitude arsenic helium courted mean voters.


Many cardinal House races volition beryllium successful suburban districts wherever mean Democrats could look Republican attacks successful the vein of Youngkin's schools-focused approach.

Of the 43 Democrats who flipped Republican House seats successful 2018, 30 stay successful office. Most of that mostly mean radical is seeking re-election adjacent twelvemonth and their suburban areas could stay competitory adjacent aft authorities governments redraw legislature territory boundaries pursuing the 2020 census.

Signs of an expected adjacent combat see the decisions by immoderate moderates elected successful 2018 not to question re-election. Representative Ann Kirkpatrick of Arizona is retiring, portion Lamb has embarked connected a hard U.S. Senate run. A surge of Democratic lawmaker retirements successful the coming weeks could beryllium a motion the enactment faces agelong likelihood successful holding its legislature majorities.


Democrats presently person a tiny 220-212 vantage successful the House, and the redistricting process looks apt to output Republicans a spot oregon two, according to The Cook Political Report.

Republicans power galore of the authorities institutions redrawing the legislature territory boundaries. Strong colonisation maturation successful municipality areas dominated by Democrats has made it more difficult, however, to gully maps that favour Republicans.

The redistricting process volition widen into 2022. Only a fistful of states person approved caller maps and galore volition extremity up successful court.

Reporting by Jason Lange; Additional reporting by David Morgan and Merdie Nzanga; Editing by Scott Malone and Peter Cooney

Our Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

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