N.F.L. Week 9 Predictions: Our Picks Against the Spread

1 month ago 45

Jets backmost Mike White volition get a bid show against the Colts, the Rams’ upgraded defence volition effort to stall the Titans, and Kansas City volition look the Aaron Rodgers-less Packers.

Mike White volition  beryllium  astatine  backmost   again for the Jets. 
Credit...Adam Hunger/Associated Press

Emmanuel Morgan

Nov. 4, 2021, 12:01 a.m. ET

The N.F.L.’s commercialized deadline was arsenic notable for the players who didn’t get moved arsenic for the players who did. The Los Angeles Rams added the Pro Bowl linebacker Von Miller to an already tremendous defense, but the long-rumored Miami Dolphins commercialized for Deshaun Watson did not travel to pass, and Odell Beckham Jr. is inactive (at slightest nominally) a subordinate of the Cleveland Browns.

This week’s injured/Covid-list designations person had a greater effect connected betting lines than the league’s trades: The Tennessee Titans volition effort to stay applicable without Derrick Henry, and Aaron Rodgers’s affirmative coronavirus trial has tremendously swung the likelihood of Kansas City beating his Green Bay Packers.

Below is simply a look astatine N.F.L. Week 9, with each picks made against the spread.

All times Eastern.

Last week’s record: 4-11

Byes: Buccaneers, Seahawks, Lions, Washington

Jets astatine Indianapolis Colts, 8:20 p.m., Fox and NFL Network

Line: Colts -10.5 | Total: 46.5

The backup backmost Mike White had an unexpectedly proficient outing — 405 yards, 3 touchdowns and an 82 percent completion complaint — successful his archetypal N.F.L. start, giving the Jets (2-5) immoderate optimism that they tin upwind Zach Wilson’s genu injury.

Wilson volition again beryllium against the Colts (3-5), leaving White to effort to repetition his show against a respectable passing defence that allows 243 yards per game. The Colts are the amended team, but Carson Wentz has been unsure — helium threw 2 interceptions against the Titans past week — leaving country for the Jets to support this 1 close. Pick: Jets +10.5

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Credit...George Walker/The Tennessean, via Associated Press

Tennessee Titans astatine Los Angeles Rams, 8:20 p.m., NBC

Line: Rams -7.5 | Total: 53.5

Derrick Henry’s ft country is expected to support him retired astatine slightest six weeks, a devastating lack for the Titans (6-2), who person fed their workhouse moving backmost a league-high 237 touches. His replacement, the seasoned Adrian Peterson, 36, astir apt won’t find occurrence against the Rams (7-1), who conscionable added Von Miller to an already formidable antiaircraft front. Throwing against Los Angeles won’t beryllium immoderate easier, with the Titans’ Ryan Tannehill having to relationship for Jalen Ramsey successful the secondary.

Tennessee tin inactive beryllium a playoff squad if the receivers A.J. Brown and Julio Jones get healthy, (the presumption of Jones’s hamstring wounded makes him questionable to play), but this is not a crippled that volition assistance the Titans’ case. Pick: Rams -7.5

Cleveland Browns astatine Cincinnati Bengals, 1 p.m., CBS

Line: Bengals -3 | Total: 46.5

This is fundamentally a must-win for the Browns (4-4), who are successful past spot successful the A.F.C. North and look a beauteous insurmountable standings conflict if they suffer again to divisional opponent. They declined to commercialized Odell Beckham Jr., and the organization’s stalemate with the unhappy receiver puts into question his availability for Sunday.

The Bengals (5-3), though, volition beryllium anxious to amusement that their upset nonaccomplishment to the Jets was a fluke. After rushing for a specified 41 yards past week — its lowest full this play — Cincinnati volition find a peculiar situation against the Browns’ sixth-ranked rushing defense. Cleveland walk rusher Myles Garrett, the league’s sack person (10.5), volition beryllium motivated to adhd Joe Burrow to his backmost graveyard, and the Browns’ consciousness of urgency astir moving retired of past spot should compel them to astatine slightest support the people tight. Pick: Browns +3

Green Bay Packers astatine Kansas City, 4:25 p.m., Fox

Line: Kansas City -7.5 | Total: 54.5

Kansas City (4-4) is not a bully squad astatine the moment. The defence has been atrocious, allowing the fourth-most passing yards (2,158) and the eighth-most rushing yards (974) successful the N.F.L., and Patrick Mahomes has thrown a league-high 10 interceptions portion trying to compensate for the team’s different mistakes.

But Kansas City, playing astatine home, went from +2.5 underdogs to -7.5 favorites with the quality that Aaron Rodgers would miss this crippled aft investigating affirmative for the coronavirus. Still, the Packers (7-1) should person receivers Davante Adams and Allen Lazard back, and adjacent with choky extremity Robert Tonyan retired with a genu injury, the backup backmost Jordan Love should person much than capable targets to chopped done a meager defence successful his archetypal N.F.L. start. Pick: Packers +7.5

Arizona Cardinals astatine San Francisco 49ers, 4:25 p.m., Fox

Line: 49ers -1 | Total: 45

What a quality a week makes. The Cardinals (7-1) were undefeated done 7 games, but a nonaccomplishment to the Packers past week and injuries to cornerstone players forced oddsmakers to downgrade Arizona to an underdog for this matchup. Quarterback Kyler Murray (ankle) and halfway Rodney Hudson (rib) are questionable, portion antiaircraft extremity J.J. Watt (shoulder) is done for the year.

Even if Colt McCoy has to measurement successful for Murray, the Cardinals person capable violative firepower to grip the 49ers (3-4), particularly if Arizona’s defence makes backmost Jimmy Garoppolo struggle. Pick: Cardinals +1

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Credit...Adrian Kraus/Associated Press

Houston Texans astatine Miami Dolphins, 1 p.m., Fox

Line: Dolphins -7 | Total: 45.5

The commercialized deadline passed, and Tua Tagovailoa is inactive the starting backmost of the Miami Dolphins (1-7). At slightest until March.

That’s the earliest an authoritative swap with the Texans (1-7) for Deshaun Watson could beryllium processed, if by past Watson has resolved the 22 accusations of intersexual misconduct against him. The existent shot contention betwixt these 2 teams volition beryllium overshadowed by that saga, with a triumph not proving overmuch for either.

Miami played the Bills competitively past week, and the Texans traded their champion moving back, Mark Ingram, angering their apical receiver, Brandin Cooks. The discord should beryllium excessively overmuch for Houston to surmount, adjacent if Tyrod Taylor is capable to commencement for the archetypal clip since Week 2. Expect the Dolphins to extremity a seven-game losing streak. Pick: Dolphins -7

Denver Broncos astatine Dallas Cowboys, 1 p.m., Fox

Line: Cowboys -8.5 | Total: 49.5

The Cowboys (6-1) showed past week they could triumph without Dak Prescott, and helium mightiness instrumentality a time disconnected against the Broncos (4-4), too. Denver traded linebacker Von Miller to the Rams this week successful a white-flag determination for the teetering franchise. Though Dallas cornerback Trevon Diggs and near tackle Tyron Smith are some questionable with ankle injuries, the Cowboys should screen the dispersed easily. Pick: Cowboys -8.5

Atlanta Falcons astatine New Orleans Saints, 1 p.m., Fox

Line: Saints -6 | Total: 43

Jameis Winston tore the anterior cruciate ligament successful his near knee, and helium volition miss the remainder of the play for the Saints (5-2). If Taysom Hill is inactive successful the concussion protocol, the journeyman Trevor Siemian volition commencement astatine backmost against the Falcons (3-4). While Coach Sean Payton and the discourtesy accommodate to yet different backmost change, the Saints volition thin connected their defense, which has allowed the league’s second-lowest points full (128).

They volition beryllium capable to absorption connected containing Atlanta’s rookie choky end, Kyle Pitts, since the Falcons volition beryllium without receiver Calvin Ridley, who stepped distant from the squad to be to his intelligence health. Pick: Saints -6

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Credit...Kirby Lee/USA Today Sports, via Reuters

New England Patriots astatine Carolina Panthers, 1 p.m., CBS

Line: Patriots -3.5 | Total: 41

The Patriots (4-4) are riding a two-game triumph streak connected the spot of an discourtesy that’s recovered a rhythm, and a docket that’s deed a anemic stretch. Damien Harris has rushed for 100 yards successful 2 of the past 3 games and has scored a touchdown successful 4 consecutive weeks. Hunter Henry, 1 of 2 choky ends the Patriots signed successful escaped bureau this off-season, has scored a touchdown successful 4 of the past 5 games, and the rookie backmost Mac Jones has looked much comfy nether center.

The Panthers (4-4), whitethorn beryllium without Sam Darnold, who was concussed successful past week’s loss. It’s improbable that his backup, P.J. Walker, volition find overmuch occurrence against a Bill Belichick defense. Pick: Patriots -3.5

Buffalo Bills astatine Jacksonville Jaguars, 1 p.m., CBS

Line: Bills -14.5 | Total: 49

The spread, portion lopsided, is astir right. The Bills (5-2) are 1 of the champion teams successful the N.F.L. portion the Jaguars (1-6) are 1 of the worst. Josh Allen and the Buffalo discourtesy should person their mode with a Jacksonville defence that has allowed the fifth-most passing yards per crippled (278.1). Trevor Lawrence and the Jaguars’ discourtesy volition conflict against the Bills’ top-ranked defence (1,883 yards allowed). Bet connected Buffalo with confidence. Pick: Bills -14.5

Las Vegas Raiders astatine Giants, 1 p.m., CBS

Line: Raiders -2.5 | Total: 46.5

The Raiders (5-2) are talented capable offensively to people often against the Giants (2-6), portion Daniel Jones could again beryllium without his apical targets, who were forced retired of past week’s nonaccomplishment to Kansas City by injuries — Sterling Shepard (quad), Kadarius Toney (thumb) and Dante Pettis (shoulder). It’s besides chartless if Kenny Golladay (knee) volition instrumentality from a three-game absence.

Las Vegas should screen the dispersed comparatively smoothly, adjacent without receiver Henry Ruggs III, whom the squad released Tuesday due to the fact that of his relation successful a fatal car crash. Pick: Raiders -2.5

Minnesota Vikings astatine Baltimore Ravens, 1 p.m., Fox

Line: Ravens -5.5 | Total: 49.5

Don’t expect The Vikings (3-4) to incorporate the Ravens (5-2) aft they could not adjacent bushed Dallas’s backup backmost past week. Lamar Jackson is not Cooper Rush, and Jackson should salivate implicit competing against Minnesota’s defense, which allowed Rush to propulsion for 325 yards. Baltimore receiver Sammy Watkins (hamstring) and moving backmost Latavius Murray (ankle) could instrumentality from their injuries aft the team’s bye. Pick: Ravens -5.5

Los Angeles Chargers astatine Philadelphia Eagles, 4:05 p.m., CBS

Line: Chargers -1.5 | Total: 50

Fans of the Chargers (4-3) should commencement to beryllium concerned. The defence has allowed the second-most rushing yards this play (1,116), a flaw that has been connected show successful back-to-back losses. The Eagles (3-5) had their champion rushing crippled of the play against the Lions past week, moving for 236 yards without the starting backmost Miles Sanders (ankle), who was placed connected injured reserve.

Chargers Coach Brandon Staley is considered 1 of the champion antiaircraft minds successful the league, but expect opponents to exploit his squad connected the crushed until helium adjusts. The underdog Eagles could thrust Boston Scott and Jordan Howard to an upset. Pick: Eagles +1.5

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Credit...Nam Y. Huh/Associated Press

Chicago Bears astatine Pittsburgh Steelers, 8:15 p.m., ESPN

Line: Steelers -6.5 | Total: 40

Justin Fields’s item touchdown scramble past Sunday happened due to the fact that the Bears’ violative line, which has allowed the astir sacks successful the N.F.L. (30), again broke down and forced the rookie backmost to flight the pocket.

The Bears (3-5) drafted Fields 11th wide this twelvemonth successful portion due to the fact that of his quality to marque unscripted plays, but Chicago’s faulty walk extortion leaves him without different options. The Steelers (4-3) traded the walk rusher Melvin Ingram to Kansas City this week, and adjacent without him, Pittsburgh should rattle the young passer and screen the spread. Pick: Steelers -6.5

A speedy primer for those who are not acquainted with betting lines: Favorites are listed adjacent to a antagonistic fig that represents however galore points they indispensable triumph by to screen the spread. Raiders -5.5, for example, means that Las Vegas indispensable bushed Chicago by astatine slightest 6 points for its backers to triumph their bet. Gamblers tin besides stake connected the full score, oregon whether the teams’ combined people successful the crippled is implicit oregon nether a preselected fig of points.

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