SocGen's quarterly sales miss estimates as French retail slumps

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Logo of French bank Societe Generale in La Defense near Paris

People walk past a logo of French bank Societe Generale in front of the company's skyscraper at the financial and business district of La Defense near Paris, France September 14, 2023. REUTERS/Gonzalo Fuentes/File Photo Acquire Licensing Rights

  • Q3 sales down 6.2%
  • French retail NII to fall by more than 20% in 2023
  • Q3 net profit beats estimates
  • Lowers 2023 cost of risk guidance

PARIS, Nov 3 (Reuters) - Societe Generale (SOGN.PA), France's third-biggest listed bank, missed market expectations on quarterly sales on Friday, as a slump of its French retail added to earnings woes in spite of the resilient performance of its investment bank division.

Group revenues dropped by 6.2% from a year earlier to about 6.2 billion euros, below a 6.3 billion-euro average of 13 analyst estimates compiled by the company.

Stringent French rules on mortgage rate-fixing, combined with a government-fixed remuneration rate on the country's most popular savings account have limited the benefits of higher rates on French banks' net interest income (NII) -- earnings on loans minus the cost of deposits.

NII at the French retail division fell by 27% in the quarter, excluding two regulated savings accounts, "well below expectations," JP Morgan said in a note to clients.

The French lender said it now saw NII of its French retail, private banking and insurance division falling by more than 20% in 2023. Next year, it expects the same key metric to be higher or equal to the 2022 amount.

The French retail division's quarterly earnings also decreased because of hedging contracts to cover against the risks of low interest rates. That negative effect peaked in the third quarter, SocGen said.

Group net income came in at 295 million euros ($313.2 million), above the 168 million-euro analyst consensus.

It was down 80% from a year earlier, as the bank booked 340 million euros in write-downs tied to some of its activities on top of a 270 million-euro provision for deferred tax assets.

Both hits to SocGen's bottom line had been flagged at the bank's investor day in September.

Jefferies called SocGen's set of quarterly earnings "dull", marked by a mixed bag of results.

MEAGER GROWTH

SocGen's CEO Slawomir Krupa, who took the reins of the company in May, is striving to revive the bank's shares by delivering on the cost-cutting and conservative targets he set out in September.

But his mid-term targets, which include a meager annual revenue growth target of 0 to 2% by 2026, were deemed disappointing by investors who expected higher returns to shareholders, sending shares down by more than 10%.

The current year, dubbed a year of "transition" by SocGen, is marked by the costly integration of car-leasing company LeasePlan by the bank's listed rival ALD (ALDA.PA), under the brand Ayvens. The bank has also finalised the merger of its two French retail networks.

The two transactions have weighed on costs, at a time when the French retail market, in stark contrast with other European countries, yields lower margins even as interest rates have risen at the fastest pace in recent history.

In this context, the 0.4% drop in sales seen at SocGen's investment bank, compares well with some of its European peers.

Revenue from trading in fixed income and securities was down 4.6%, outperforming bigger French rival BNP Paribas (BNPP.PA), Deutsche Bank (DBKGn.DE) and Barclays (BARC.L) as less volatile financial markets dent investment banks' earnings.

The corporate financing and advisory business saw sales up by 2.1%, helping propel the division's net profit, which was up 7.7% over the period.

SocGen cut the full-year target for its cost of risk -- money set aside for bad loans -- to "below 20 basis points", down from a guidance of below 30 basis points.

($1 = 0.9419 euros)

Reporting by Mathieu Rosemain, editing by Silvia Aloisi, Ingrid Melander

Our Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

Mathieu is part of Reuters' finance team, covering French banks and major M&A stories in the country and in Europe. A graduate of Sciences Po university, Mathieu previously covered the Tech beat at Reuters, following stints at Bloomberg News and French business daily Les Echos.

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